The support of Nausėda, seeking a second term in the Daukantas Square Palace, has increased by five percentage points in a month. In February, 28.5% of respondents would have voted for the incumbent, while 23.8% would have done so in January.
According to the poll, the current Head of State is equally popular among all socio-demographic groups.
Nausėda's closest rivals remain Vėgėlė and Šimonytė
The rating of lawyer Ignas Vėgėlė, who will run in the presidential elections, has remained almost unchanged. In January, 13.4% of respondents said they would vote for him in the polls, and in February – 12.2%.
According to the poll, the lawyer, who rose to prominence during the pandemic, has the highest number of supporters among lower and middle-educated, lower and middle-income, district centre, and rural residents.
In January, 10.9% of respondents were ready to vote for Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė, who is third in the rankings and only within the margin of error, and in February, 12.8%.
Respondents with higher education and income were most likely to support the Prime Minister, who will represent the Homeland Union-Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) in the elections.
Žemaitaitis, who will run in the elections, is in fourth place
Remigijus Žemaitaitis, a member of Seimas, is the next closest to the top three. According to the poll, 4.7% of Lithuanians would support him (3.3% in January).
In February, 4.3% of respondents would also have voted for Dainius Žalimas, the former President of the Constitutional Court (KT) and candidate of the Freedom Party. In January, 4.1% of respondents would have supported him.
Within the margin of error, Valdas Tutkus, the former Head of the Armed Forces, is also within the margin of error of Žalimas, for whom 3% of the country's population would have voted in February (1.7% in January).
In addition, 2.6% of the country's population said in February that they would have voted for Aurelius Veryga, the opposition Lithuanian State Farmers and Greens Union (LVŽS) candidate. In January, 2.8% would have supported him.
The other candidates received less than 2% of the sympathy vote each
According to the survey, 7.5% of respondents would have chosen a candidate other than those mentioned in January. However, other well-known candidates for the post of the country's leader received less than 2% of the Lithuanian population's votes.
According to the poll, 15.1% of the population had yet to decide which candidate they would vote for, while 8.1% said they did not intend to vote.
On 18–25 February 2024, the public opinion and market research company Spinter Survey commissioned by the news portal Delfi, conducted a public opinion poll. The survey was carried out among the population aged between 18 and 75. A combined telephone and online survey method was used. One thousand seventeen respondents were interviewed.
The survey results have a margin of error of 3.1 per cent.